Samoa v Scotland preview

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Samoa v Scotland Saturday 5:15pm at Barlow Park

First win and finals spot on the line for Samoa and Scotland

Samoa produced an improved performance last week against Tonga yet ultimately fell 32-18. The most obvious improvement can be seen in their completion rate, which increased to 78% in comparison to the previous week's 57% against New Zealand. Despite this, Samoa were never really able to threaten the Tongan side in the second half, falling away to a 26-6 deficit by the 61st minute. As a result, Matt Parish's side will now need to defeat an undermanned Scotland outfit on Saturday night to ensure that they progress through to the Quarter Finals.

Scotland's chances of causing an upset victory, however, have been marred by ill-discipline and injury. Already without four NRL stars for the tournament through injury, Steven McCormarck also sent home three key players, including captain Danny Brough, for being intoxicated. As a result, Scotland will need to overcome significant hurdles if they are to emerge unlikely victors on Saturday night. They will also need to overcome a dreadful start to their 2017 World Cup campaign in which they have conceded 124 points and scored just 10 in their first two games.

Last meeting: These two sides met just once - in the 2000 World Cup. Samoa won that encounter 20-12 in Edinburgh.

Who to watch: Look for Samoan halfback Ben Roberts to take charge of Saturday night's clash. Roberts is paired with Penrith rookie Jarome Luai, who is yet to taste first grade. Therefore, Roberts needs to take command of his side's attack if they are to progress through to the Quarter Finals. Roberts displayed glimpses of his best in last week's defeat, finishing the game with a try and a line break.

With skipper and five-eighth Danny Brough dropped for Saturday night's match, halfback Oscar Thomas will need to step up and take more responsibility like Roberts. The former Super League Man of Steel is a big loss for the Bravehearts, yet Thomas was still solid in defeat last week, scoring Scotland's only try. If the Bravehearts are to pull off a miracle Thomas will need to spark his side's attack without halves partner Brough.

The favourite: Samoa are well backed to grab their first win of this year's World Cup.

My tip: Samoa have been disappointing thus far. However, an undermanned Scotland side should present the perfect chance for Parish's men to gain confidence heading into the Quarter Finals. Samoa by 24.

1. Young Tonumaipea 2. Ricky Leutele 3. Timoteo Lafai 4. Joseph Leilua 5. Matthew Wright 6. Jarome Luai 7. Fa'amanu Brown 8. Junior Paulo 9. Jazz Tevaga 10. Herman Essese 11. Joshua Papalii 12. Frank Winterstein 13. Bunty Afoa 14. Pita Godinet 15. Joseph Paulo 16. Leeson Ah Mau 17. Sam Tagataese

1. Lewis Tierney 2. Shane Toal 3. Ben Hellewell 4. Lachlan Stein 5. Matthew Russell 6. Danny Addy 7. Oscar Thomas 8. Luke Douglas 9. Callum Phillips 10. Ben Kavanagh 11. Frankie Mariano 12. Dale Ferguson 13. James Bell 14. Kane Bentley 15. Brandan Wilkinson 16. Andrew Bentley 17. Jarred Anderson

Referees: Ashley Klein; Sideline Officials: Grant Atkins, Jon Stone; Video Referees: Henry Perenara;

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