Full Time
80:00
3:00pm Sat June 3, 2023
Round 14 - Go Media Stadium, Penrose / Aotearoa - Crowd: 23686

Round 14: Warriors v Dolphins preview

Welcome to the inaugural battle of the "The's". The Warriors and The Dolphins go head to head in this game that would've been match of the round 2 months ago, but is now a must-win clash for two sides struggling to find solid form to build upon.

The Warriors come into this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games after they had won 5 of their opening 7 games so sit inside the top 4. Now they are down in 8th, with 3 teams (Manly, Newcastle and Parramatta) below them all getting byes this week and all will leapfrog the Warriors on the ladder if they lose here.

The Dolphins on the flip side won their opening three games but have traded wins and losses every week since, failing to put good back-to-back performances together, which has seen them drop from second on the ladder down to 6th, just 2 points ahead of the Warriors. Given the Dolphins won last week, their recent form suggests they will lose here, and while that won't see them drop out of the top 8, it will mean that at least 6 other sides currently below them on the table will all be within a win of jumping them, so a big fall could be imminent if they cannot get the win.

The Warriors come into this match with Wayde Egan replacing Freddy Lussick at hooker. Egan started the year as the first choice hooker and scored a try in all of the Warriors opening 4 games, 3 of which they won. He's a very solid defender so his inclusion could be one to help sure up the Warriors middle defence. Dylan Walker and Mitchell Barnett both return on the bench, adding some experience and versatility in the backs via Walker and some very solid edge line running and defence from Barnett, especially late in the game. The Warriors second half performances have been quite solid defensively, but struggled to score points. Walker on the bench is a genuine attacking threat who could be the spark to help get them winning again. The Dolphins have named an unchanged side for this match.

These sides are quite evenly matched too. They are both ranked equal second in the competition for set completions, at 81%, behind only the Panthers (who have 82%). The Warriors are 5th in the NRL for Tackle Breaks, while the Dolphins are ranked 5th for Post Contact Metres. Both sides are performing poorly in regards to missed tackles, with the Dolphins the 4th worst and the Warriors 6th worst.

Who to watch: Jamayne Isaako has been very strong with his running game so far this season, ranking in the top 10 for line breaks. He's also making plenty of post contact metres and tackle breaks, especially on kick returns which is helping his forwards get on top and roll down the field much easier.

Jeremy Marshall-King has been very impressive this year in attack and defence, being one of the best in the NRL for dummy half runs and for tackles made. Between his work and the kick returns, the Dolphins pack have been able to dominate more often than not in their games this year.

Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad has been much more vigorous in his kick returns this year, something that was playing an immense role in the Warriors strong form at the start of the season. Addin Fonua-Blake has also been making big metres through the middle this year, averaging 159 metres per game. Tohu Harris is always impressive and can pop up anywhere to make a vital run, pass or tackle.

Favourite: The Warriors at home and feeling a bit dismayed after last weeks result, will be keen to get the win here. The Dolphins see-sawing form is hard to have huge confidence in, so the Warriors will be the favourites here.

My tip: The Warriors to win 22-14.